Stablecoins: Policy, sovereignty and backstops
No jurisdiction can ignore stablecoins. They can be banned outright only in the most effectively authoritarian countries, or accommodated and even...
The geopolitics of stablecoins
Stablecoins are private digital money pegged to a fiat currency, overwhelmingly the US dollar. Dollar stablecoins reinforce American monetary and...
Stablecoins are run-optimised instruments
Stablecoins are private digital money designed to trade at par with a fiat currency, usually the US dollar. This column argues that stablecoins are...
Of AI bubbles and crashes
Warnings of an AI stock market bubble abound. Should investors and policymakers be concerned? This column argues that innovation-driven bubbles can...
Five systemic threats and what to do about them
Systemic financial risk has both internal and external drivers. So, when we focus too strongly on preventing internal crises, such as the 2008 Global...
Lessons from the collapse of Silicon Valley Bank
The collapse of Silicon Valley Bank shows that banks still pose risks. Are they systemic? Jon Danielsson, Robert Macrae, and Nikola Tchouparov write...
Bitcoin isn’t much of a macro hedge
Bitcoin is often sold as protection against adverse macroeconomic outcomes. This column argues that this depiction as a macro hedge does not stand up...
Sanctions, war, and systemic risk in 1914 and 2022
The Western countries have sanctioned Russia in a way not applied to any globally integrated major power in over a century, ever since 1914. This...
The coronavirus crisis is no 2008
Many comparisons have been made between the coronavirus crisis and the global systemic crisis in 2008. This column argues that seen through the lens...
Artificial intelligence as a central banker
Artificial intelligence, such as the Bank of England Bot, is set to take over an increasing number of central bank functions. This column argues that...
Systemic consequences of outsourcing to the cloud
Financial institutions are increasingly outsourcing information technology to the cloud, motivated by efficiency, security, and cost. This column...
The dissonance of the short and long term
The type of risk we most care about is long-term, what happens over years or decades, but we tend to manage that risk over short periods. This column...
Artificial Intelligence and Systemic Risk
Artificial intelligence (AI) is rapidly changing how the financial system is operated, taking over core functions because of cost savings and...
The hierarchy of financial policies
Financial policy is determined in multiple domains by separate government authorities. This column explores the hierarchical ranking of these domains...
Artificial intelligence, financial risk management and systemic risk
Artificial intelligence (AI) is rapidly changing how financial institutions are operated and regulated. The authors discuss the benefits and danger...