The illusion of control: why the financial sector is more vulnerable than ever to a financial crisis
Reforms following the global financial crisis of 2008 were supposed to create a less risky financial world. But has a one-size-fits all approach to...
Research highlight
The Impact of Risk Cycles on Business Cycles: A Historical View
The Review of Financial Studies, 36(7), 2922–2961
The beginning of the end for cryptocurrencies
Cryptocurrencies have enjoyed a remarkable run from obscurity to a trillion dollar valuation in just over a decade. This column argues, however, that...
The illusion of control
Global macroprudential and microprudential regulatory changes since 2008 have been designed to make a repeat of a systemic crisis much less likely...
The Illusion of Control Why Financial Crises Happen, and What We Can (and Can't) Do About It
A challenge to the conventional wisdom surrounding financial risk, providing insight into why easy solutions to control the financial system are...
Choosing a numerical programming language for economic research: Julia, MATLAB, Python or R
Economic researchers can choose between four general purpose programming languages – Julia, MATLAB, Python, and R. This column evaluates the four...
Bitcoin isn’t much of a macro hedge
Bitcoin is often sold as protection against adverse macroeconomic outcomes. This column argues that this depiction as a macro hedge does not stand up...
Cryptocurrencies and the war in Ukraine
The cryptocurrency exchanges have only done what is legally required of them when sanctioning Russia for its invasion of Ukraine, unlike the...
Sanctions, war, and systemic risk in 1914 and 2022
The Western countries have sanctioned Russia in a way not applied to any globally integrated major power in over a century, ever since 1914. This...
How global risk perceptions affect economic growth
The relationship between financial risk and economic growth is complex. This column finds that perceptions of high risk unambiguously harm growth...
Moral hazard, the fear of the markets, and how central banks responded to Covid-19
While the direct economic consequences of Covid-19 have been significant, the impact on the financial markets has been more nuanced. This column uses...
Which programming language is best for economic research: Julia, Matlab, Python or R?
The most widely used programming languages for economic research are Julia, Matlab, Python and R. This column uses three criteria to compare the...
Financial Volatility and Economic Growth, 1870–2016
We investigate the causal impact of financial risk on economic growth, using a panel spanning 150 years and 74 countries. Persistent low risk...
The coronavirus crisis is no 2008
Many comparisons have been made between the coronavirus crisis and the global systemic crisis in 2008. This column argues that seen through the lens...
Artificial intelligence as a central banker
Artificial intelligence, such as the Bank of England Bot, is set to take over an increasing number of central bank functions. This column argues that...
