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Publications of Ian Martin

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Discussion Papers

Sentiment and speculation in a market with heterogeneous beliefs

We present a dynamic model featuring risk-averse investors with heterogeneous beliefs. Individual investors have stable beliefs and risk aversion, but...

May 2019
DP 785
Ian Martin
Dimitris Papadimitriou

Academic journals

The Quanto Theory of Exchange Rates

American Economic Review, 109(3), 810-43.

March 2019
Lukas Kremens
Ian Martin

Discussion Papers

The Quanto Theory of Exchange Rates

We present a new, theoretically motivated, forecasting variable for exchange rates that is based on the prices of quanto index contracts, and show via...

November 2017
Lukas Kremens
Ian Martin

Discussion Papers

The Quanto Theory of Exchange Rates

We present a new, theoretically motivated, forecasting variable for exchange rates that is based on the prices of quanto index contracts, and show via...

August 2017
DP 769
Lukas Kremens
Ian Martin

Academic journals

What is the Expected Return on the Market?

The Quarterly Journal of Economics, 132 (1), 367-433. 

February 2017
Ian Martin

Discussion Papers

What is the Expected Return on a Stock?

We derive a formula that expresses the expected return on a stock in terms of the risk-neutral variance of the market and the stock’s excess risk...

November 2016
DP 760
Ian Martin
Christian Wagner

Discussion Papers

What is the expected return on the market?

This paper presents a new lower bound on the equity premium in terms of a volatility index, SVIX, that can be calculated from index option prices...

March 2016
DP 750
Ian Martin

Discussion Papers

What is the expected return on the market?

This paper presents a new lower bound on the equity premium in terms of a volatility index, SVIX, that can be calculated from index option prices...

March 2016
DP 750
Ian Martin

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