Public Policies for Private Finance
We review the literature on the effectiveness of public policies to facilitate firms’ access to finance. The rationale for such policies is to address...
Phase transitions in debt recycling
Debt recycling is an aggressive equity extraction strategy that potentially permits faster repayment of a mortgage. While equity progressively builds...
The Effects of Economic Sanctions
A burgeoning economics and political science literature studies the effects of economic sanctions on various aspects of economic and social life of...
Investor Memory and Biased Beliefs: Evidence from the Field
We survey a large representative sample of retail investors in China to elicit their memories of stock market investment and return expectations. We...
The Law of Small Numbers in Financial Markets: Theory and Evidence
We build a model of the law of small numbers (LSN)—the incorrect belief that even small samples represent the properties of the underlying population...
What Drives Repo Haircuts? Evidence from the UK Market
Using a unique transaction-level data, we document that only 60% of bilateral repos held by UK banks are backed by high quality collateral. Banks...
Subtle Discrimination
We introduce the concept of subtle discrimination - biased acts that cannot be objectively ascertained as discriminatory - and study its implications...
The Inference-Forecast Gap in Belief Updating
Evidence from experiments, surveys, and the field has uncovered both underreaction and overreaction to new information. We provide new experimental...
Unintended Consequences of Holding Dollar Assets
We examine a novel mechanism whereby the US dollar’s global dominance can have a large, unexpected impact on foreign Treasury yields in crisis periods...
Correlation between upstreamness and downstreamness in random global value chains
This paper is concerned with upstreamness and downstreamness of industries and countries in global value chains. Upstreamness and downstreamness...
Scale or Yield? A Present-Value Identity
We propose a loglinear present-value identity in which investment ("scale"), profitability ("yield"), and discount rates determine a firm’s market-to...
Upstreamness and downstreamness in input-output analysis from local and aggregate information
Ranking sectors and countries within global value chains is of paramount importance to estimate risks and forecast growth in large economies. However...
The Impact of Green Investors on Stock Prices
We study the impact of green investors on stock prices in a dynamic equilibrium model where investors are green, passive or active. Green investors...
Polarized Expectations, Polarized Consumption
This paper argues that political affiliation plays a central role in shaping household expectations and consumption behavior. Using survey and...
Centralized vs Decentralized Markets: The Role of Connectivity
We consider a setting in which privately informed agents are located in a network and trade a risky asset with other agents with whom they are...
Collateral Effects: The Role of FinTech in Small Business Lending
This paper investigates the impact of introducing junior unsecured loans (i.e., FinTech loans) in the small business lending market. Using French...