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Discussion Papers

Business Regulation and Poverty

Using panel data for 189 economies from 2004 to 2016, we show that business-friendly regulations are correlated with the poverty headcount at the...

September 2017
DP 766
Simeon Djankov
Dorina Georgieva
Rita Ramalho

Discussion Papers

A Tale of Two Indexes: Predicting Equity Market Downturns in China

Predicting stock market crashes is a focus of interest for both researchers and practitioners. Several prediction models have been developed, mostly...

August 2017
Sebastien Lleo
William T Ziemba

Discussion Papers

The Dynamics of Financially Constrained Arbitrage

We develop a model in which financially constrained arbitrageurs exploit price discrepancies across segmented markets. We show that the dynamics of...

August 2017
DP 771
Denis Gromb
Dimitri Vayanos

Discussion Papers

Financial Markets where Traders Neglect the Informational Content of Prices

We present a model of a financial market where some traders are “cursed” when investing in a risky asset, failing to fully appreciate what prices...

August 2017
DP 770
Erik Eyster
Matthew Rabin
Dimitri Vayanos

Discussion Papers

Performance-induced CEO turnover

This paper revisits the relationship between firm performance and CEO turnover. We drop the distinction between forced and voluntary turnovers and...

August 2017
DP 768
Dirk Jenter
Katharina Lewellen

Discussion Papers

The Quanto Theory of Exchange Rates

We present a new, theoretically motivated, forecasting variable for exchange rates that is based on the prices of quanto index contracts, and show via...

August 2017
DP 769
Lukas Kremens
Ian Martin

Discussion Papers

Trend Growth Durations & Shifts

Policymakers and investors often conceptualize trend growth as simply a medium/long term average growth rate. In practice, these averages are usually...

July 2017
Inna Grinis

Discussion Papers

Skills Diversity in Unity

At any point in time, skills gaps, mismatches, and shortages arise because of an imperfect correspondence between the singular sets of skills required...

July 2017
Inna Grinis

Discussion Papers

Executive Compensation: A Survey of Theory and Evidence

This paper reviews the theoretical and empirical literature on executive compensation. We start by presenting data on the level of CEO and other top...

July 2017
DP 767
Alex Edmans
Xavier Gabaix
Dirk Jenter

Discussion Papers

Determinants of Regulatory Reform

Using panel data for 189 economies from 2004 to 2016, we show that regulatory reform is associated with periods of fiscal imbalances. This association...

June 2017
DP 765
Simeon Djankov
Dorina Georgieva
Rita Ramalho

Discussion Papers

The STEM Requirements of "Non-STEM" Jobs: Evidence from UK Online Vacancy Postings and Implications for Skills & Knowledge Shortages

Do employers in "non-STEM" occupations (e.g. Graphic Designers, Economists) seek to hire STEM (Science, Technology, Engineering, and Mathematics)...

May 2017
Inna Grinis

Discussion Papers

Financial Choice and Financial Information

We analyze the implications of increases in the selection of, and information about, derivative financial products in a model in which investors...

May 2017
DP 775
Peter Kondor
Botond Koszegi

Discussion Papers

Corporate Tax Cuts: examining the record in advanced economies

This discussion paper examines evidence from 39 economies where cuts in the corporate income tax rate have been implemented since 1986. The paper also...

May 2017
DP 764
Simeon Djankov

Discussion Papers

Pipeline Risk in Leveraged Loan Syndication

Leveraged term loans are typically arranged by banks but distributed to institutional investors. Using novel data, we find that to elicit investors’...

April 2017
DP 763
Max Bruche
Frederic Malherbe
Ralf R Meisenzahlimeon

Discussion Papers

The Optimal Consumption Function in a Brownian Model of Accumulation. Part C: A Dynamical System Formulation

This Paper continues the study of the Optimal Consumption Function in a Brownian Model of Accumulation, see Part A [2001] and Part B  [2014]; a...

March 2017
Lucien Foldes

Discussion Papers

Don’t Stop Me Now: The Impact of Credit Market Fragmentation on Firms’ Financing Constraints

This paper investigates how the withdrawal of banks from their cross-border business impacted the borrowing costs of European firms since the crisis...

March 2017
Franziska Bremus
Katja Neugebauer

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Mike Burkart - Winner of the 2025 ECGI Finance Series Prize

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Cognitive Foundations of Finance Conference

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5th Annual Conference on Non-Bank Financial Sector and Finan ...

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Creditor-on-Creditor Violence and Secured Debt Dynamics

AI Personality Extraction from Faces: Labor Market Implicati ...

The dependence of belief dynamics on beliefs: implications f ...

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Bond Supply, Yield Drifts, and Liquidity Provision Before Ma ...

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Arbitrage Networks

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