Business Regulation and Poverty
Using panel data for 189 economies from 2004 to 2016, we show that business-friendly regulations are correlated with the poverty headcount at the...
A Tale of Two Indexes: Predicting Equity Market Downturns in China
Predicting stock market crashes is a focus of interest for both researchers and practitioners. Several prediction models have been developed, mostly...
The Dynamics of Financially Constrained Arbitrage
We develop a model in which financially constrained arbitrageurs exploit price discrepancies across segmented markets. We show that the dynamics of...
Financial Markets where Traders Neglect the Informational Content of Prices
We present a model of a financial market where some traders are “cursed” when investing in a risky asset, failing to fully appreciate what prices...
Performance-induced CEO turnover
This paper revisits the relationship between firm performance and CEO turnover. We drop the distinction between forced and voluntary turnovers and...
The Quanto Theory of Exchange Rates
We present a new, theoretically motivated, forecasting variable for exchange rates that is based on the prices of quanto index contracts, and show via...
Trend Growth Durations & Shifts
Policymakers and investors often conceptualize trend growth as simply a medium/long term average growth rate. In practice, these averages are usually...
Skills Diversity in Unity
At any point in time, skills gaps, mismatches, and shortages arise because of an imperfect correspondence between the singular sets of skills required...
Executive Compensation: A Survey of Theory and Evidence
This paper reviews the theoretical and empirical literature on executive compensation. We start by presenting data on the level of CEO and other top...
Determinants of Regulatory Reform
Using panel data for 189 economies from 2004 to 2016, we show that regulatory reform is associated with periods of fiscal imbalances. This association...
The STEM Requirements of "Non-STEM" Jobs: Evidence from UK Online Vacancy Postings and Implications for Skills & Knowledge Shortages
Do employers in "non-STEM" occupations (e.g. Graphic Designers, Economists) seek to hire STEM (Science, Technology, Engineering, and Mathematics)...
Financial Choice and Financial Information
We analyze the implications of increases in the selection of, and information about, derivative financial products in a model in which investors...
Corporate Tax Cuts: examining the record in advanced economies
This discussion paper examines evidence from 39 economies where cuts in the corporate income tax rate have been implemented since 1986. The paper also...
Pipeline Risk in Leveraged Loan Syndication
Leveraged term loans are typically arranged by banks but distributed to institutional investors. Using novel data, we find that to elicit investors’...
The Optimal Consumption Function in a Brownian Model of Accumulation. Part C: A Dynamical System Formulation
This Paper continues the study of the Optimal Consumption Function in a Brownian Model of Accumulation, see Part A [2001] and Part B [2014]; a...
Don’t Stop Me Now: The Impact of Credit Market Fragmentation on Firms’ Financing Constraints
This paper investigates how the withdrawal of banks from their cross-border business impacted the borrowing costs of European firms since the crisis...