Information Asymmetries, Volatility, Liquidity, and the Tobin Tax
We develop a tractable model in which trade is generated by asymmetry in agents' information sets. We show that, even if news are not generated by a...
Capital Structure, Investment, and Fire Sales
We study a dynamic general equilibrium model in which firms choose their investment level and their capital structure, trading off the tax advantages...
The Optimal Consumption Function in a Brownian Model of Accumulation Part B: Existence of Solutions of Boundary Value Problems
In Part A of the present study, subtitled 'The Consumption Function as Solution of a Boundary Value Problem' Discussion Paper No. TE/96/297, STICERD...
Offsetting Disagreement and Security Prices
Portfolios often trade at substantial discounts relative to the sum of their components (e.g., closed-end funds, conglomerates). We propose a simple...
Destabilizing carry trades
We offer a model of currency carry trades in which carry traders earn positive excess returns if they successfully coordinate on supplying excessive...
Network Risk and key Players: A Structural Analysis of Interbank Liquidity
We model banks’ liquidity holding decision as a simultaneous game on an interbank borrowing network. We show that at the Nash equilibrium, the...
Employment and Wage insurance within Firms: Wordlwide Evidence
We investigate the determinants of firms’ implicit employment and wage insurance to employees against industry-level and idiosyncratic shocks. We rely...
Asset Management Contracts and Equilibrium Prices
We study the joint determination of fund managers’ contracts and equilibrium asset prices. Because of agency frictions, investors make managers’ fees...
The Value of Informativeness for Contracting
The informativeness principle demonstrates qualitative benefits to increasing signal precision. However, it is difficult to quantify these benefits —...
Networked Default: Public Debt, Trade Embeddedness, and Partisan Survival in Democracies since 1870
Sovereign default is often associated with the downfall of incumbent governments in democratic polities. Existing scholarship directs attention to the...
Some historical perspectives on the Bond-Stock Earnings Yield Model for crash prediction around the world
We provide a historical perspective focusing on Ziemba's experiences and research on the bond-stock earnings yield differential model (BSEYD) starting...
Land and Stock Bubbles, Crashes and Exit Strategies in Japan Circa 1990 and in 2013
We study the land and stock markets in Japan circa 1990 and in 2013. While the Nikkei stock average in the late 1980s and its -48% crash in 1990 is...
Does the Bond-Stock Earning Yield Differential Model Predict Equity Market Corrections Better Than High P/E Models?
In this paper, we extend the literature on crash prediction models in three main respects. First, we relate explicitly crash prediction measures and...
The Determinants of Systemic Importance
This paper empirically analyses the determinants of banks’ systemic importance. With applying a novel measure on the systemic importance to US bank...
Bitcoin and the PPP Puzzle
This paper approaches the PPP puzzle by using the Bitcoin/US Dollar exchange rate. The use of the virtual currency as macroeconomic laboratory allows...
Optimal Capital Growth with Convex Shortfall Penalties
The optimal capital growth strategy or Kelly strategy, has many desirable properties such as maximizing the asympotic long run growth of capital...
