Public Procurement in Law and Practice
We examine a new data set of laws and practices governing public procurement, as well as procurement outcomes, in 187 countries. We measure regulation...
Survival of Firms during Economic Crisis
We estimate the survival time of nearly 7,000 firms in a dozen of high-income and middle-income countries in a scenario of extreme economic distress...
Volatility, dark trading and market quality: evidence from the 2020 COVID-19 pandemic-driven market volatility
We exploit the exogenous shock of the COVID-19 pandemic on financial markets and regulatory restrictions on dark trading to investigate how volatility...
The Effects of Small-Firm Loan Guarantees in the UK: Insights for the COVID-19 Pandemic Crisis
Loan guarantees are popular policy responses during the COVID-19 crisis. Despite their prevalence, evidence of their effectiveness is sparse. We...
Loan Insurance, Market Liquidity, and Lending Standards
We examine loan insurance when lenders can screen at origination, learn loan quality over time, and can sell loans in secondary markets. Loan...
The Post-communist Transition at 30
In the 30 years since the fall of communism, the countries of the former Soviet bloc and Yugoslavia have undergone tremendous change. Income per...
Information Dispersion Across Employees and Stock Returns
Rank-and-file employees are becoming increasingly critical for many firms, yet we know little about how their employment dynamics matter for stock...
Bayesian Solutions for the Factor Zoo: We Just Ran Two Quadrillion Models
We propose a novel, and simple, Bayesian estimation and model selection procedure for crosssectional asset pricing. Our approach, that allows for both...
Consumption in Asset Returns
Consumption dynamics are hard to measure accurately in the data, yet they are the crucial ingredient of macro-finance asset pricing models. The...
Longterm decision making under the threat of earthquakes?
Under the threat of earthquakes, long-term policy makers need tools to optimally decide on the economic trajectories that will maximize the society...
Information Acquisition with Heterogeneous Valuations
We study the market for a risky asset with heterogeneous valuations. Agents seek to learn about their own valuation by acquiring private information...
Financial crises and liberalization: Progress or reversals?
Financial crisis can trigger policy reversals, i.e. they can lead to a process of reregulation of financial markets. Using a recent comprehensive...
Clients’ Connections
We propose a new measure of private information in decentralised markets – connections – defined as the number of dealers with whom a client trades in...
The Efficient IPO Market Hypothesis: Theory and Evidence
We derive the optimal underwriting method and the quantitative IPO pricing rule that this method implies in a market with informational frictions...
Sentiment and speculation in a market with heterogeneous beliefs
We present a dynamic model featuring risk-averse investors with heterogeneous beliefs. Individual investors have stable beliefs and risk aversion, but...
Reconstructing and Stress Testing Credit Networks
Financial networks are an important source of systemic risk, but often only partial network information is available. In this paper, we use data on...
