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Publications

The Financial Risk and Regulation programme examines the internal workings and stability of the financial system. The latest research from Financial Risk and Regulation members is made available in our working papers collection. This cutting edge work is free to download, and designed to inspire scholarly debate.

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Discussion Papers

The Quanto Theory of Exchange Rates

We present a new, theoretically motivated, forecasting variable for exchange rates that is based on the prices of quanto index contracts, and show via...

November 2017
Lukas Kremens
Ian Martin

Discussion Papers

Consistent Measures of Systemic Risk

This paper presents a methodology to infer multivariate densities that characterize the asset values for a system of financial institutions, and...

October 2017
Miguel Segoviano
Raphael André Espinoza

Discussion Papers

Competitive Screening of Customers with Non-Common Priors

This paper provides an explanation for the variety of contracts offered by competitive firms for seemingly identical products or services. I show that...

September 2017
Andreas Uthemann

Discussion Papers

A Tale of Two Indexes: Predicting Equity Market Downturns in China

Predicting stock market crashes is a focus of interest for both researchers and practitioners. Several prediction models have been developed, mostly...

August 2017
Sebastien Lleo
William T Ziemba

Discussion Papers

Skills Diversity in Unity

At any point in time, skills gaps, mismatches, and shortages arise because of an imperfect correspondence between the singular sets of skills required...

July 2017
Inna Grinis

Discussion Papers

The STEM Requirements of "Non-STEM" Jobs: Evidence from UK Online Vacancy Postings and Implications for Skills & Knowledge Shortages

Do employers in "non-STEM" occupations (e.g. Graphic Designers, Economists) seek to hire STEM (Science, Technology, Engineering, and Mathematics)...

May 2017
Inna Grinis

Discussion Papers

Econometric Modeling of Systemic Risk: Going Beyond Pairwise Comparison and Allowing for Nonlinearity

Financial instability and its destructive effects on the economy can lead to financial crises due to its contagion or spillover effects to other parts...

March 2017
Jalal Etesami
Ali Habibnia
Negar Kiyavash

Discussion Papers

External Financial Dependence and Firms’ Crisis Performance across Europe

Economic research has often relied on a measure of external financial dependence that is constructed using U.S. data and applied to other countries...

March 2017
Peter S. Eppinger
Katja Neugebauer

Discussion Papers

Does it Pay to Buy the Pot in the Canadian 6/49 Lotto: Implications for Lottery Design

The Canadian 6/49 Lotto©, despite its unusual payout structure, is one of the few government sponsored lotteries that has the potential for a...

February 2017
Steven D. Moffitt
William T Ziemba

Discussion Papers

Monetary Easing and Financial Instability

We study optimal monetary policy in the presence of financial stability concerns. We build a model in which monetary easing can lower the cost of...

January 2017
Viral Acharya
Guillaume Plantin

Discussion Papers

Stationary Markov Equilibria for Approximable Discounted Stochastic Games

We identify a new class of uncountable-compact discounted stochastic games for which existence of stationary Markov equilibria can be established and...

August 2016
Frank Page

Discussion Papers

On K-Class Discounted Stochastic Games

For a discounted stochastic game with an uncountable state space and compact metric action spaces, we show that if the measurable-selection-valued...

August 2016
Frank Page

Discussion Papers

Disaster and Fortune Risk in Asset Returns

Do Disaster risk and Fortune risk fetch a premium or discount in the pricing of individual assets? Disaster risk and Fortune risk are measures for the...

March 2016
Lerby Ergun

Discussion Papers

Incentive Compatible Networks and the Delegated Networking Principle

We construct a model of a principal-agent game of network formation (over layered networks) with asymmetric information and we consider the following...

February 2016
Rui Gong
Jieshuang He
Frank Page

Discussion Papers

Exchange Rates and Monetary Policy Uncertainty

We document that a trading strategy that is short the U.S. dollar and long other currencies exhibits significantly larger excess returns on days with...

January 2016
Philippe Mueller
Alireza Tahbaz-Salehi
Andrea Vedolin

Discussion Papers

A response to Professor Paul A. Samuelson's objectionxs to Kelly capital growth investing

The Kelly Capital Growth Investment Strategy maximizes the expected utility of final wealth with a Bernoulli logarithmic utility function. In 1956...

January 2016
William T Ziemba

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News

Mike Burkart - Winner of the 2025 ECGI Finance Series Prize

LSE announces launch of an Initiative in Sustainable Finance

Péter Kondor receives Outstanding Paper Award

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Events

Cognitive Foundations of Finance Conference

5th Annual Conference on Non-Bank Financial Sector and Finan ...

Global financial system: old themes, new risks

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Seminars

The Origins of Commodity Price Fluctuations

Idiosyncratic Volatility and the ICAPM

Pricing Event Risk: Evidence from Concave Implied Volatility ...

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Publications

How central banks can meet the financial stability challenge ...

Five systemic threats and what to do about them

Financial instability transition under heterogeneous investm ...

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