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Discussion Papers

Clients’ Connections

We propose a new measure of private information in decentralised markets – connections – defined as the number of dealers with whom a client trades in...

July 2019
No 65
Peter Kondor
Gábor Pintér

Discussion Papers

The Efficient IPO Market Hypothesis: Theory and Evidence

We derive the optimal underwriting method and the quantitative IPO pricing rule that this method implies in a market with informational frictions...

June 2019
Kevin James
Marcela Valenzuela

Discussion Papers

Sentiment and speculation in a market with heterogeneous beliefs

We present a dynamic model featuring risk-averse investors with heterogeneous beliefs. Individual investors have stable beliefs and risk aversion, but...

May 2019
No 64
Ian Martin
Dimitris Papadimitriou

Discussion Papers

Financial Transaction Taxes and the Informational Efficiency of Financial Markets: A Structural Estimation

We develop a new methodology to estimate the impact of a financial transaction tax (FTT) on informational efficiency, liquidity and volatility. In our...

March 2019
Marco Cipriani
Antonio Guarino
Andreas Uthemann

Discussion Papers

Trading and Arbitrage in Cryptocurrency Markets

We study the efficiency, price formation and segmentation of cryptocurrency markets. We document large, recurrent arbitrage opportunities in...

December 2018
No 63
Igor Makarov
Antoinette Schoar

Discussion Papers

Heterogeneous Global Cycles

Why do countries differ in terms of their exposure to fluctuations in the global supply of credit? We argue that frictions in global intermediation...

December 2018
No 62
Maryam Farboodi
Peter Kondor

Discussion Papers

Turning Alphas into Betas: Arbitrage and the Cross-section of Risk

What determines the cross-section of betas with respect to a risk factor? The act of arbitrage plays an important role. If the capital of arbitrageurs...

November 2018
No 61
Thummim Cho

Discussion Papers

Investor Protection and Asset Prices

Empirical evidence suggests that investor protection has significant effects on ownership concentration and asset prices. We develop a dynamic asset...

October 2018
No 60
Suleyman Basak
Georgy Chabakauri
M. Deniz Yavuz

Discussion Papers

A Tale of Two Indexes: Predicting Equity Market Downturns in China

Predicting stock market crashes is a focus of interest for both researchers and practitioners. Several prediction models have been developed, mostly...

September 2018
Sebastien Lleo
William T Ziemba

Discussion Papers

Information Acquisition, Price Informativeness and Welfare

We consider the market for a risky asset with heterogeneous valuations. Private information that agents have about their own valuation is reflected in...

April 2018
Rohit Rahi
Jean-Pierre Zigrand

Discussion Papers

Bank Resolution and the Structure of Global Banks

We study the resolution of global banks by national regulators. Single-point-of-entry (SPOE) resolution, where loss-absorbing capital is shared across...

April 2018
No 59
Patrick Bolton
Martin Oehmke

Discussion Papers

Financial Markets where Traders Neglect the Informational Content of Prices

We present a model of a financial market where some traders are “cursed” when investing in a risky asset, failing to fully appreciate what prices...

April 2018
No 58
Erik Eyster
Matthew Rabin
Dimitri Vayanos

Discussion Papers

Trading and Information Diffusion in Over-the-Counter Markets

We propose a model of trade in over-the-counter (OTC) markets in which each dealer with private information can engage in bilateral transactions with...

April 2018
No 57
Ana Babus
Peter Kondor

Discussion Papers

The Effect of Superstar Firms on College Major Choice

We study the effect of superstar firms on an important human capital decision – college students’ choice of major. Past salient, extreme events in an...

April 2018
No 56
Darwin Choi
Dong Lou
Abhiroop Mukherjee

Discussion Papers

Learning from History: Volatility and Financial Crises

We study the effects of stock market volatility on risk-taking and financial crises by constructing a cross-country database spanning up to 211 years...

February 2018
Jón Danielsson
Marcela Valenzuela
Ilknur Zer

Discussion Papers

The Quanto Theory of Exchange Rates

We present a new, theoretically motivated, forecasting variable for exchange rates that is based on the prices of quanto index contracts, and show via...

November 2017
Lukas Kremens
Ian Martin

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Putting the Price in Asset Pricing

Investor Memory and Biased Beliefs: Evidence from the Field

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