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Sentiment and Speculation in a Market with Heterogeneous Beliefs
American Economic Review, 112 (8), 2465-2517
Measuring Ukraine’s private consumption during the war
As Russia’s invasion continues to ravage many parts of Ukraine, the flow of official statistical data has been erratic. This column outlines an...
Ideas, Idea Processing, and TFP Growth in the US: 1899 to 2019
Innovativity – an economy's ability to produce the innovations that drive total factor productivity (TFP) growth – requires both ideas and the ability...
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Heterogeneous Global Booms and Busts
American Economic Review, 112 (7), 2178-2212
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Central Bank Swap Lines: Evidence on the Lender of Last Resort
The Review of Economic Studies, 89(4), 1654–1693
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Market efficiency in the age of big data
Journal of Financial Economics, 145(1), 154-177
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Ripples into waves: Trade networks, economic activity, and asset prices
Journal of Financial Economics, 145(1), 217-238
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Comomentum: Inferring Arbitrage Activity from Return Correlations
The Review of Financial Studies, 35(7), 3272–3302
Doing Business 2.0: A Better Guide for Policy Makers
In its two decades of existence, the annual Doing Business report became a flagship publication of the World Bank and one of the primary data...
Bitcoin isn’t much of a macro hedge
Bitcoin is often sold as protection against adverse macroeconomic outcomes. This column argues that this depiction as a macro hedge does not stand up...
Restarting Ukraine’s agricultural exports
Russia has imposed a naval blockade on Ukraine, suffocating the country’s agricultural exports. The last time that Ukraine experienced an export...
Covid-19 and trust among the young
Mishandled public health and other disasters erode young people’s trust in politicians for years
Ukraine’s recovery challenge
The economic damage in Ukraine in the wake of Russia’s invasion is on a scale not seen in Europe since WWII. This column compares Ukraine’s economic...
CBDCs: Potential Impact on Bank Profitability, Asset and Risk Management and Financial Stability
In this paper we discuss whether or not the introduction of CBDCs may impact the profitability of banks and their ability to accumulate capital...
