Sell in May and Go Away in the Equity Index Futures Markets, 1993-2019
The period May 1 to the turn of the month of November (-6 trading day of October) has historically produced negligible returns. The rest of the year...
Banks and government bonds: A love story
European banks have been criticised for holding too much domestic government debt during the recent euro area crisis, intensifying the doom loop...
Exchanges of innovation resources inside venture capital portfolios
Journal of Financial Economics, 135 (1), 144-168
Dollars or Pence? Choosing a framework for US-China trade
Given that China is a strategic and economic rival to the US, the Trump administration’s framework for US-China trade makes far more sense than one...
Systemic consequences of outsourcing to the cloud
Financial institutions are increasingly outsourcing information technology to the cloud, motivated by efficiency, security, and cost. This column...
Longterm decision making under the threat of earthquakes?
Under the threat of earthquakes, long-term policy makers need tools to optimally decide on the economic trajectories that will maximize the society...
Strategic news releases in equity vesting months
The Review of Financial Studies, 31 (11), 4099-4141
A tug of war: Overnight versus intraday expected returns
Journal of Financial Economics, 134 (1), 192-213.
Firing the wrong workers: Financing constraints and labor misallocation
Journal of Financial Economics, 133 (3), 589-607
The dissonance of the short and long term
The type of risk we most care about is long-term, what happens over years or decades, but we tend to manage that risk over short periods. This column...
Central banks and reputation risk
As central banks accumulate ever more job functions, their reputation risk increases. This column offers a cautionary tale from Iceland where, after...
