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Publications

The Capital Markets programme examines how different types of agents interact in financial markets. The latest research from Capital Markets members is made available in our working papers collection. This cutting edge work is free to download, and designed to inspire scholarly debate.

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Discussion Papers

High-frequency Trading in the Stock Market and the Costs of Option Market Making

Using a comprehensive panel of 2,969,829 stock-day data provided by the Securities and Exchange Commission (MIDAS), we find that HFT activity in the...

January 2022
DP 847
Mahendrarajah Nimalendran
Khaladdin Rzayev
Satchit Sagade

Discussion Papers

Municipal Bond Insurance and the U.S. Drinking Water Crisis

We show that the collapse of the municipal bond insurance industry plays an important, but previously overlooked, role in driving regional variation...

November 2021
DP 846
Ashwini Agrawal
Daniel Kim

Discussion Papers

A Theory of Socially Responsible Investment

We characterize necessary conditions for socially responsible investors to impact firm behavior in a setting in which firm production generates social...

November 2021
DP 845
Martin Oehmke
Marcus Opp

Discussion Papers

Multi-Asset Noisy Rational Expectations Equilibrium with Contingent Claims

We study a noisy rational expectations equilibrium in a multi-asset economy populated by informed and uninformed investors and noise traders. The...

November 2021
DP 745
Georgy Chabakauri
Kathy Yuan
Konstantinos E. Zachariadis

Discussion Papers

Blockchain Analysis of the Bitcoin Market

In this paper, we provide detailed analyses of the Bitcoin network and its main participants. We build a novel database using a large number of public...

October 2021
DP 844
Igor Makarov
Antoinette Schoar

Discussion Papers

Cleansing by Tight Credit: Rational Cycles and Endogenous Lending Standards

Endogenous cycles are generated by the two-way interaction between lenders’ behavior in the credit market and production fundamentals. When lenders...

October 2021
DP 843
Maryam Farboodi
Peter Kondor

Discussion Papers

Information, Market Power and Welfare

We study a financial market in which agents with interdependent values bid for a risky asset. Some agents are privately informed of their own value...

September 2021
DP 842
Youcheng Lou
Rohit Rahi

Discussion Papers

The Wall Street Stampede: Exit as Governance with Interacting Blockholders

The growth of the asset management industry has made it commonplace for firms to have multiple institutional blockholders. In such firms, the strength...

July 2021
DP 841
Dragana Cvijanovic
Amil Dasgupta
Konstantinos E. Zachariadis

Discussion Papers

Margin Trading and Leverage Management

We use granular data covering regulated (brokerage-financed) and unregulated (shadow-financed) margin trading during the 2015 market turmoil in China...

July 2021
DP 839
Jiangze Bian
Zhi Da
Zhiguo He
Dong Lou
Kelly Shue
Hao Zhou

Discussion Papers

Why Don’t Most Mutual Funds Short Sell?

An intriguing observation in the US mutual fund industry is that most equity funds do not short sell, even though virtually all regulatory...

July 2021
DP 838
Li An
Shiyang Huang
Dong Lou
Jiahong Shi

Discussion Papers

Informed Trading in Government Bond Markets

Using comprehensive administrative data from the UK, we examine trading by different investor types in government bond markets. Our sample covers...

July 2021
DP 837
Robert Czech
Shiyang Huang
Dong Lou
Tianyu Wang

Discussion Papers

Dark Trading and Alternative Execution Priority Rules

Traders’ choice between lit and dark trading venues depends on market conditions, which are affected by execution priority rules in the dark pool...

June 2021
DP 834
Alejandro Bernales
Daniel Ladley
Evangelos Litos
Marcela Valenzuela

Discussion Papers

Sustainability in a Risky World

This paper studies the restrictions on consumption, portfolio choice, and social discounting implied by a sustainability constraint, that utility...

April 2021
DP 830
John Y. Campbell
Ian Martin

Discussion Papers

Factor Demand and Factor Returns

A mutual fund’s demand for a pricing factor, measured by the loading of the fund’s returns on the factor’s returns, is persistent over time. When...

March 2021
DP 829
Cameron Peng
Chen Wang

Discussion Papers

Extrapolative Bubbles and Trading Volume

We propose an extrapolative model of bubbles to explain the sharp rise in prices and volume observed in historical financial bubbles. The model...

March 2021
DP 828
Jingchi Liao
Cameron Peng
Ning Zhu

Discussion Papers

The Role of Sentiment in the Economy: 1920 to 1934

This paper investigates the role of sentiment in the US macro economy from 1920 to 1934. We use 2.4 million digitized articles from the Wall St...

February 2021
DP 800
Ali Kabiri
Harold James
John Landon-Lane
David Tuckett
Rickard Nyman

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Global financial system: old themes, new risks

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Is Index Concentration an Inevitable Consequence of Market-C ...

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Inferring Mutual Fund Intra-Quarter Trading - An Application ...

Sustainable Investing: Evidence From the Field

Memory Moves Markets

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