Discussion Papers

We study exchange rate expectations in surveys of financial professionals and find that they successfully forecast currency appreciation at the two...

We examine how the tail risk of currency returns over the past 20 years were impacted by central bank (monetary and liquidity) measures across the...

This paper examines how market power affects coverage in a general class of insurance models. We show that market power decreases coverage for...

The existing literature has documented “reaching for yield” - the phenomenon of investing more in risky assets when interest rates drop - among...

I propose a novel method to identify the exogenous monetary shock from the signaling effect of a Fed announcements in real time. The method relies on...

There is little direct empirical evidence on the investment behavior of wealthy households. Based on a proprietary database of investment portfolios...

We develop a dynamic model of DeFi lending that incorporates the following key features: 1) borrowing and lending are decentralized, anonymous...

This paper shows that, in a world dominated by vehicle currencies, firms engaging in international operations retain currency risk and hedge it real...

The paper develops a model of bubbles that can be taken to the data and explain the behavior of asset prices and their statistics. We depart from the...

Investors have limited and time-varying attention. These constraints are heterogeneous across investors, which can create asymmetric information and...

We survey thousands of affluent American investors to examine the relationship between personalities and investment decisions. The Big Five...

We develop a two-country model in which currency and bond markets are populated by different investor clienteles, and segmentation is partly overcome...

We study how passive investing affects asset prices. Flows into passive funds raise disproportionately the stock prices of the economy’s largest firms...

Will asset managers with large amounts of capital and high risk-bearing capacity hold large blocks and monitor aggressively? Both block size and...

We study bank capital requirements as a tool to address climate-related financial risks and evaluate whether a prudential mandate for bank regulators...

We study dynamic portfolio choice in a calibrated equilibrium model where value and momentum anomalies arise because capital slowly moves from under-...