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Publications of Jón Danielsson

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Opinion Pieces

Volatility, financial crises and Minsky's hypothesis

Does low volatility in financial markets mean that another financial crisis is more likely? And should we be worried when everything is OK? This...

Jón Danielsson
Marcela Valenzuela
Ilknur Zer

Discussion Papers

Can We Prove a Bank Guilty of Creating Systemic Risk? A Minority Report

Since increasing a bank's capital requirement to improve the stability of the financial system imposes costs upon the bank, a regulator should ideally...

September 2015
Jón Danielsson
Kevin James
Marcela Valenzuela
Ilknur Zer

Opinion Pieces

Iceland, Greece and political hectoring

The Greek and the Icelandic crisis have much in common, not the least the heavy pressure from foreign countries and the hectoring from their public...

Jón Danielsson

Opinion Pieces

A proposed research and policy agenda for systemic risk

The long-running Greek crisis and China’s recent stock market crash are the latest threats to the stability of the global financial system. But as...

Jón Danielsson
Jean-Pierre Zigrand

Opinion Pieces

Are asset managers systemically important?

Some financial authorities have proposed designating asset managers as systemically important financial institutions (SIFIs). This column argues that...

Jón Danielsson
Jean-Pierre Zigrand

Opinion Pieces

Why Iceland can now remove capital controls

Iceland has just announced it is getting rid of its capital controls. This column argues that the government’s plan is a credible, efficient and fair...

June 2015
Jón Danielsson
Ásdís Kristjánsdóttir

Opinion Pieces

Why risk is hard to measure

Regulators and financial institutions increasingly depend on statistical risk forecasting. This column argues that most risk modelling approaches are...

Jón Danielsson
Chen Zhou

Discussion Papers

Why risk is so hard to measure

This paper analyzes the robustness of standard risk analysis techniques, with a special emphasis on the specifications in Basel III. We focus on the...

April 2015
Jón Danielsson
Chen Zhou

Opinion Pieces

Post-Crisis banking regulation: Evolution of economic thinking as it happened on Vox

This column introduces a new Vox eBook collecting some of the best Vox columns on financial regulations, starting with the fundamentals of financial...

Jón Danielsson

Books

Post-Crisis Banking Regulation: Evolution of economic thinking as it happened on Vox

This eBook collects some of the best Vox columns on financial regulations, starting with the fundamentals of financial regulations, moving on to bank...

March 2015
Jón Danielsson

Opinion Pieces

Europe’s proposed capital markets union: Disruption will drive investment and innovation

The proposed EU capital markets union aims to revitalise Europe’s economy by creating efficient funding channels between providers of loanable funds...

Jón Danielsson
Eva Micheler
Katja Neugebauer
Andreas Uthemann
Jean-Pierre Zigrand

Opinion Pieces

What the Swiss FX shock says about risk models

The Swiss central bank last week abandoned its euro exchange rate ceiling. This column argues that the fallout from the decision demonstrates the...

January 2015
Jón Danielsson

Opinion Pieces

Averting financial crisis

Jeffrey Chwieroth and Jon Danielsson discuss the political challenges of the macroprudential agenda in the ESRC's annual flagship magazine Britain in...

January 2015
Jeffrey M Chwieroth
Jón Danielsson

Academic journals

Risk models-at-risk

Journal of Banking & Finance, Volume 44, Pages 72-92.

July 2014
Christophe M. Boucher
Jón Danielsson
Patrick S. Kouontchou
Bertrand B. Maillet

Opinion Pieces

Model risk and the implications for risk management, macroprudential policy, and financial regulations

Risk forecasting is central to financial regulations, risk management, and macroprudential policy. This column raises concerns about the reliance on...

Jón Danielsson
Kevin James
Marcela Valenzuela
Ilknur Zer

Discussion Papers

Model Risk of Risk Models

This paper evaluates the model risk of models used for forecasting systemic and market risk. Model risk, which is the potential for different models...

April 2014
Jón Danielsson
Kevin James
Marcela Valenzuela
Ilknur Zer

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Blended finance needs to scale 10x: can it? will it?

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Creditor-on-Creditor Violence and Secured Debt Dynamics

AI Personality Extraction from Faces: Labor Market Implicati ...

The dependence of belief dynamics on beliefs: implications f ...

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Artificial intelligence and financial crises

Shadow Banks on the Rise: Evidence Across Market Segments

The Structure of Leveraged Buyouts and the Free-Rider Proble ...

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