A Growth Strategy for the Greek Economy
The Greek government appointed in January 2020 a Commission chaired by Nobel Prize winner Christopher Pissarides to propose a growth plan. The...
An Unconventional FX Tail Risk Story
We examine how the tail risk of currency returns over the past 20 years were impacted by central bank (monetary and liquidity) measures across the...
On the use of artificial intelligence in financial regulations and the impact on financial stability
As the financial authorities increase their use of artificial intelligence (AI), micro regulations, such as consumer protection and routine banking...
Artificial intelligence and financial stability
The use of artificial intelligence in the private sector is accelerating, and the financial authorities have no choice but to follow if they are to...
Let the Market Speak: Using Interest Rates to Identify the Fed Information Effect
I propose a novel method to identify the exogenous monetary shock from the signaling effect of a Fed announcements in real time. The method relies on...
Stress-testing the banking system: what lies ahead?
Pedro Duarte Neves says stress tests must evolve to capture systemic, liquidity and cyber risks.
Stylised facts on the effectiveness of macroprudential policy
This policy note summarises the main empirical findings on the effectiveness of macroprudential policy: macroprudential policy contributes to a...
Should central banks abandon single point forecasts?
Single point forecasts for growth, inflation, interest rates, and so on are easy to comprehend and to check against outcomes, and are what otherwise...
Low Rates and Bank Loan Supply: Theory and Evidence from Japan
In this paper, we explore the consequences of low nominal interest rates for credit supply, macroeconomic outcomes and policy. Using the protracted...
On the Fragility of DeFi Lending
We develop a dynamic model of DeFi lending that incorporates the following key features: 1) borrowing and lending are decentralized, anonymous...
The spread of COVID-19 in London: Network effects and optimal lockdowns
Journal of Econometrics, 235 (2), 2125-2154
When artificial intelligence becomes a central banker
Artificial intelligence is expected to be widely used by central banks as it brings considerable cost saving and efficiency benefits. However, as this...
Granular Corporate Hedging Under Dominant Currency
This paper shows that, in a world dominated by vehicle currencies, firms engaging in international operations retain currency risk and hedge it real...
The market quality implications of speed in cross-platform trading: Evidence from Frankfurt-London microwave networks
Journal of Financial Markets, 66, 100853
Volatility and dark trading: Evidence from the Covid-19 pandemic
The British Accounting Review, 55 (4),101171
The legacy of cryptocurrencies
Crypto-promoters and financial authorities are split on the future of cryptocurrencies. Should crypto join the mainstream or remain in the wilderness...
