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Discussion Papers

Imperfect common knowledge in first generation models of currency crises

First generation models assume that the level of reserves of a Central Bank in a fixed exchange rate regime is common knowledge among consumers, and...

February 2006
DP 555
Gara Minguez-Afonso

Discussion Papers

Comparing downside risk measures for heavy tailed distribution

Using regular variation to define heavy tailed distributions, we show that prominent downside risk measures produce similar and con- sistent ranking...

December 2005
DP 551
Jón Danielsson
Bjorn Jorgensen
Mandira Sarma
Casper G de Vries

Discussion Papers

Rare events and annuity market participation

We investigate whether a rare event (like the default of the annuity provider) can explain the annuity market participation puzzle. High risk aversion...

November 2005
DP 553
Paula Lopes-Cocco
Alexander Michaelides

Discussion Papers

Subadditivity re–examined: the case for value-at-risk

This paper explores the potential for violations of VaR subadditivity both theoretically and by simulations, and finds that for most practical...

October 2005
DP 549
Jón Danielsson
Bjorn Jorgensen
Sarma Mandira
Gennady Samorodnitsky
Casper G de Vries

Discussion Papers

The Dynamics of venture capital contracts

We analyze the degree of contract completeness with respect to staging of venture capital investments using a hand-collected German data set of...

October 2005
DP 552
Carsten Bienz
Julia Hirsch

Discussion Papers

On modelling endogenous default

Not only in the classic Arrow-Debreu model, but also in many mainstream macro models, an implicit assumption is that all agents honour their...

September 2005
DP 548
Dimitri Tsomocos
Lea Zicchino

Discussion Papers

An Essay on the interactions between the Bank of England's forecasts, the MPC's policy adjustments, and the eventual outcome

There are long, (and often variable), lags between a change in interest rates and its effect on real output and inflation. Hence policy should be...

August 2005
DP 546
Charles Goodhart

Discussion Papers

Reforming public pensions in the US and the UK

This essay describes the current debate on reforming Social Security in the US, along with a brief description of how the program works. Along the way...

August 2005
DP 543
Peter Diamond

Discussion Papers

Minority blocks and takeover premia

This paper analyses takeovers of companies owned by atomistic shareholders and by one minority blockholder, all of whom can only decide to tender or...

August 2005
DP 544
Mike Burkart
Denis Gromb
Fausto Panunzi

Discussion Papers

Optimal intergenerational risk sharing

This paper studies optimal intergenerational transfer policy under stochastic labor income and capital returns. It has implications for Social...

June 2005
DP 541
Otto van Hemert

Discussion Papers

Long-term debt and hidden borrowing

We consider borrowers with the opportunity to raise funds from a competitive banking sector that shares information, and from an alternative hidden...

June 2005
DP 542
Heski Bar-Isaac
Vicente Cuñat

Discussion Papers

Simulated nonparametric estimation of dynamic models with applications to finance

This paper introduces a new class of parameter estimators for dynamic models, called Simulated Nonparametric Estimators (SNE). The SNE minimizes...

May 2005
DP 539
Filippo Altissimo
Antonio Mele

Discussion Papers

Dynamic portfolio and mortgage choice for homeowners

We investigate the impact of owner-occupied housing on financial portfolio and mortgage choice under stochastic inflation and real interest rates. To...

May 2005
DP 538
Otto van Hemert
Franck de Jong
Joost Driessen

Discussion Papers

Estimating structural bond pricing models via simulated maximum likelihood

This paper describes how structural bond pricing models can be estimated using a Simulated Maximum Likelihood procedure developed by Durbin and...

April 2005
DP 534
Max Bruche

Discussion Papers

IMF concern for reputation and conditional lending failure: theory and empirics

One possible explanation for the unsatisfactory implementation of IMF conditionality has been attributed to the lack of credibility of the IMF threat...

April 2005
DP 535
Silvia Marchesi
Laura Sabani

Discussion Papers

Reputation effects in trading on the New York Stock Exchange

Theory suggests that reputations, developed in repeated face-to-face interactions, allow non- anonymous, floor-based trading venues to attenuate...

March 2005
DP 540
Robert Battalio
Andrew Ellul
Robert Jennings

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Creditor-on-Creditor Violence and Secured Debt Dynamics

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A Preferred-Habitat Model of Term Premia, Exchange Rates, an ...

Behind the Corporate Veil: How Business Groups Arbitrage ESG ...

Of AI bubbles and crashes

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