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Special Papers

Time, Inflation and Asset Prices

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September 1999
SP 117
Charles Goodhart

Discussion Papers

Insider Trading, Investment and Liquidity: A Welfare Analysis

We compare equilibrium trading outcomes with and without participation by an informed insider, assuming inflexible ex ante aggregate investment...

August 1999
DP 334
Sudipto Bhattacharya
Giovanna Nicodano

Discussion Papers

Time Series of Commodity Futures Prices

This paper examines the pattern of volatility over time of a series of commodity futures prices, and focuses in particular on the futures price...

August 1999
DP 331
Jane Black
Ian Tonks

Special Papers

Managing Government Default Risk in Federal States

Federal governments typically apply fiscal rules to impose fiscal discipline on lower levels of government. Analogously, by trading in government debt...

August 1999
SP 116
Jan Lemmen

Discussion Papers

'Barbarians in Chains' - Takeover Regulation and Minority Shareholder Wealth

July 1999
DP 330
Ulrike Hoffmann-Burchardi

Special Papers

The Vulnerability of Banks to Government default risk in the EMU

This paper examines the vulnerability of banks in EMU countries to shocks to default risk premiums on public debt. This vulnerability depends on (1)...

July 1999
SP 115
Ivo J. M. Arnold
Jan Lemmen

Discussion Papers

Contrasting Different Forms of Price Stickiness: An Analysis of Exchange Rate Overshooting and the Beggar Thy Neighbour Policy

This paper considers a two country economy similar to that in Obstfeld and Rogoff (1995). We build on their model by distinguishing between sticky...

June 1999
DP 329
Markus K. Brunnermeier
Clemens Grafe

Discussion Papers

Financing Entrepreneurs: Optimal Contracts and the Role of Intermediaries

I study an economy in which entrepreneurs seek financing for longterm projects from capital-constrained intermediaries, who specialise in monitoring...

June 1999
DP 328
Roberta Dessi

Special Papers

The Third Leg of the Stool: Financial Stability as a Prerequisite for EMU

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June 1999
SP 114
Ivo J. M. Arnold

Discussion Papers

Modelling Bid-Ask Spreads in Competitive Dealership Markets

In competitive dealership markets, several transactions may take place within the same time interval so that observed prices cannot be ordered...

May 1999
DP 324
Siem Jan Koopman
Hung Neng Lai

Discussion Papers

Inter-Market Price and Volatility Impacts Generated by Large Trades: The Case of European Cross-Quoted Securities

This paper investigates whether block trades in European cross-quoted securities executed on the London Stock Exchange's SEAQ-I market produce any...

May 1999
DP 321
Andrew Ellul

Discussion Papers

Optimal Bail Out Policy, Conditionality and Creative Ambiguity

This paper addresses the issue of the optimal behaviour of the Lender of Last Resort (LOLR) in its microeconomic role regarding individual financial...

May 1999
DP 327
Xavier Freixas

Discussion Papers

Bank Moral Hazard and Market Discipline

We show that market discipline can be effective in resolving the moral hazard problem which arises when depositors do not know whether bankers are...

May 1999
DP 326
Elena Carletti

Discussion Papers

Corporate Walkout Decisions and the Value of Default

We present a continuous-time asset pricing model of the levered firm where shareholders select not only the timing but also the form of control...

May 1999
DP 325
Tom Dahlström
Pierre Mella-Barral

Discussion Papers

Moments of Markov Switching Models

This paper derives the moments for a range of Markov switching models. We characterize in detail the patterns of volatility, skewness and kurtosis...

May 1999
DP 323
Allan Timmermann

Discussion Papers

A Recursive Modelling Approach to Predicting UK Stock Returns

This paper applies an extended and generalized version of the recursive modelling strategy developed in Pesaran and Timmermann (1995) to the UK stock...

May 1999
DP 322
M. Hashem Pesaran
Allan Timmermann

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