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Discussion Papers

Predictable Stock Returns in the United States and Japan: A Study of Long-Term Capital Market Integration

This paper studies the predictability of monthly excess returns on equity portfolios over the domestic short-term interest rate in the U.S. and Japan...

December 1989
DP 69
John Y. Campbell
Yasushi Hamao

Discussion Papers

Reversions of Excess Pension Assets After Takeovers

This paper evaluates pension asset revisions as a source of takeover gains. Within two years following a hostile takeover, pension funds were reverted...

November 1989
DP 68
Jeffrey Pontiff
Andrei Shleifer
Michael Weisbach

Discussion Papers

The Economic Effects of Franchise Termination Laws

It is commonly argued that state laws restricting franchise terminations increase the costs of controlling free-rider problems within franchise...

November 1989
DP 67
James A. Brickley
Frederick H. Dark
Michael S. Weisbach

Discussion Papers

Endogenous Growth and the Role of History

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October 1989
DP 63
Mervyn King
Mark Robson

Discussion Papers

Pitfalls in Testing For Explosive Bubbles in Asset Prices

Rational bubbles in stock prices are not reliably detectable through the use of standard tests to determine whether stock prices are "more explosive"...

October 1989
DP 65
George W. Evans

Discussion Papers

Semi-Parametric Estimation and the Predictability of Stock Market Returns: Some Lessons From Japan

The paper attempts to explore whether lagged variables that help predict stock returns are merely proxying for mis-measured risk. Therefore, three...

September 1989
DP 62
Enrique Sentana
Sushil Wadhwani

Discussion Papers

Contracts to Sell Information

When information is sold, there is often a reliability problem since anyone can claim to have superior knowledge. Optimal strategies which allow a...

August 1989
DP 61
Franklin Allen

Discussion Papers

Evidence of Risk Premia In Foreign Currency Future Markets

This paper describes tests for time-varying risk premia associated with foreign currency futures positions. Empirical implementation with daily data...

August 1989
DP 60
Thomas McCurdy

Discussion Papers

Long-Term Financial Contracts May Mitigate the Adverse Selection Problem in Project Financing

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June 1989
DP 59
David Webb

Discussion Papers

Price Flexibility, Credit Availability and Economic Fluctuations: Evidence From the United States, 1894-1909

The importance of disturbances in financial markets for real economic activity and the positive association between price level and output movements...

June 1989
DP 58
Charles W. Calomiris
Glenn Hubbard

Discussion Papers

Self-Fulfilling Theories: The Sunspot Connection

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June 1989
DP 54
Pierre-André Chiappori
Roger Guesnerie

Discussion Papers

Default and Renegotiation: A Dynamic Model of Debt

This paper considers a situation where an entrepreneur borrows funds from a creditor (e.g. a bank) to finance an investment project. The project will...

June 1989
DP 57
Oliver Hart
John Moore

Discussion Papers

Bursting Bubbles and Bleeding Bulls: Does the Evidence Support the Rhetoric?

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May 1989
DP 56
Mark Mullins

Discussion Papers

An Economic Evaluation of Insolvency Procedures in the United Kingdom: Does the 1986 Insolvency Act Satisfy the Creditor's Bargain?

The creditors' bargain view of insolvency law argues that solvency state rights should be preserved in insolvency states. It argues that insolvency...

May 1989
DP 55
David Webb

Discussion Papers

Risk, Gordon's Growth Model and the Predictability of Stock Market Returns

This paper measures risk by using proxies based on lagged squared returns, the GARCH -M model and consumption correlatedness. It finds :- 

(i) Even...

March 1989
DP 49
Orazio P. Attanasio
Sushil Wadhwani

Discussion Papers

Price Competition Between Market Makers

The paper models explicitly the price competition in financial markets, where prices are quoted by competing dealers (market makers) before future...

February 1989
DP 52
Jürgen Dennert

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