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Publications

The Centre has a regular discussion paper series dedicated to academic research, as well as a special paper series focused on policy analysis. In addition, affiliated researchers publish a variety of books, reports and opinion pieces.

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Discussion Papers

Buy on Rumours - Sell on News: A Manipulative Trading Strategy

A trader who receives a signal about a future public announcement can exploit this private information twice. First, when he receives his signal, and...

November 1998
DP 309
Markus K. Brunnermeier

Discussion Papers

Mutual Fund Performance: Evidence from the UK

This paper uses a large sample containing the complete return histories of 2300 UK open-ended mutual funds over a 23-year period to measure fund...

October 1998
DP 307
David Blake
Allan Timmermann

Discussion Papers

Optimal Monetary Policy in a Model Of Asymmetric Central Bank Preferences

October 1998
DP 306
A. Robert Nobay
David A. Peel

Discussion Papers

A Dilution Cost Approach to Financial Intermediation and Securities Markets

This paper proposes a model of financial markets and corporate finance, with asymmetric information and no taxes, where equity issues, Bank debt and...

October 1998
DP 305
Patrick Bolton
Xavier Feixas

Discussion Papers

The Dangers of Data-Driven Inference: The Case of Calender Effects in Stock Returns

Economics is primarily a non-experimental science. Typically, we cannot generate new data sets on which to test hypotheses independently of the data...

October 1998
DP 304
Ryan Sullivan
Allan Timmermann
Halbert White

Discussion Papers

Data Snooping, Technical Trading, Rule Performance, and the Bootstrap

In this paper we utilize White’s Reality Check bootstrap methodology (White (1997)) to evaluate simple technical trading rules while quantifying the...

October 1998
DP 303
Ryan Sullivan
Allan Timmermann
Halbert White

Discussion Papers

The Hazards of Mutual Fund Performance: A Cox Regression Analysis

This paper investigates the process determining mutual funds' conditional probability of closure, i.e. their hazard function. Using a nonparametric...

September 1998
DP 302
Asger Lunde
Allan Timmermann
David Blake

Discussion Papers

Revenue Efficiency and Change of Control : The Case of Bankruptcy

The restructuring of a bankrupt company often entails a change of control. By efficiency of a bankruptcy procedure it is usually meant that the...

August 1998
DP 300
Francesca Cornelli
Leonardo Felli

Discussion Papers

Revenue Efficiency and Change of Control: The Case of Bankruptcy

The restructuring of a bankrupt company often entails a change of control. By efficiency of a bankruptcy procedure it is usually meant that the...

August 1998
DP 300
Francesca Cornelli
Leonardo Felli

Special Papers

Excess Capacity in EU and US Banking Sectors - Conceptual, Measurement and Policy Issues

August 1998
SP 105
E Philip Davis
Sinikka Salo

Special Papers

Complex Fraud Trials and Financial Regulation

Download not available

August 1998
SP 104
Rosalind Wright

Discussion Papers

Liquidity in Second Tier Equity Markets: Evidence From London's Alternative Investment Market (AIM)

This paper studies liquidity provision in the Alternative Investment Market (AIM) of the London Stock Exchange. Our analysis shows that it is possible...

August 1998
DP 301
John Board
Anne Villa
Stephen Wells

Discussion Papers

Credit Rationing May Involve Excessive Lending

It is typically assumed that equilibrium credit rationing implies insufficient lending. By combining hidden types and hidden action, this paper shows...

July 1998
DP 297
David de Meza
David Webb

Discussion Papers

The Impact of Liquidity Constraints on Bank Lending Policy

July 1998
DP 299
David Webb

Discussion Papers

Beyond the Sample: Extreme Quantile and Probability Estimation

Economic problems such as large claims analysis in insurance and value-at-risk in fi- nance, require assessment of the probability P of extreme...

July 1998
DP 298
Jón Danielsson
Casper G de Vries

Discussion Papers

Housing Market Fluctuations in a Life-Cycle Economy with Credit Constraints

This paper presents a first step towards a new theory of housing market fluctuations. We develop a life-cycle model where agents face credit...

July 1998
DP 296
François Ortalo-Magné
Sven Rady

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