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Publications

The Centre has a regular discussion paper series dedicated to academic research, as well as a special paper series focused on policy analysis. In addition, affiliated researchers publish a variety of books, reports and opinion pieces.

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Discussion Papers

Causal Inference for Asset Pricing

Portfolio choice involves substituting across many assets at once, complicating inference about asset demand. An elementary condition often captures...

August 2026
DP 977
Valentin Haddad
Zhiguo He
Paul Huebner
Peter Kondor
Erik Loualiche

Discussion Papers

The Option Value of Waiting for Institutional Improvement: Real Options and Growth with Endogenous Beliefs

This paper explains why institutional reforms often fail to stimulate investment despite improving long-run fundamentals. We develop a real options...

August 2026
DP 976
David Webb

Discussion Papers

Bayesian Fama-MacBeth Regressions

Commonly used frequentist estimation methods for linear factor models of asset returns are invalidated by weak and spurious factors. The problem is...

August 2026
DP 975
Svetlana Bryzgalova
Jiantao Huang
Christian Julliard

Discussion Papers

Purifying the Equity Premium

The equity premium has conventionally been defined as the return on stocks minus the return on bills. We decompose this conventional definition into...

August 2026
DP 974
Christopher Polk
Tuomo Vuolteenaho

Discussion Papers

Strategic Misreporting and Investment Distortions: How Agency Costs Shape Project Selection and Timing

This paper introduces a dynamic model of corporate investment that integrates misreporting incentives with leverage and growth option timing. Unlike...

August 2026
DP 973
David Webb

Discussion Papers

Market Fragmentation: Liquidity, Price Discovery, and Welfare

We analyze the impact of financial market fragmentation when traders differ in terms of market access and information about the asset payoff. Agents...

July 2026
DP 972
Youcheng Lou
Rohit Rahi

Discussion Papers

Super-Pledgeability: How Progressive Taxation Solves Entrepreneurial Commitment Problems

This paper provides a novel efficiency rationale for progressive corporate taxation based on commitment problems in entrepreneurial finance. Poor...

July 2026
DP 971
David Webb

Discussion Papers

Safe Assets as Balance Sheet Multipliers

We highlight the multiplier role of (public) safe assets by studying a model of a bank’s balance sheet. The bank optimally constructs a portfolio of...

July 2026
DP 970
Emre Ozdenoren
Kathy Yuan
Shengxing Zhang

Discussion Papers

Copayments and the Value of Health Insurance: Experimental Evidence from Uganda

How do copayments affect the benefits and costs of health insurance in low-income settings? We study this question in a field experiment in rural...

July 2026
DP 969
Lorenzo Casaburi
Kim Fe Cramer
Jack Willis

Discussion Papers

Market Structure of Intermediation

Skilled intermediaries can represent multiple investors, generating economies of scale in screening costs. However, locating competent intermediaries...

July 2026
DP 968
Hongda Zhong

Discussion Papers

Internal versus External Liquidity: Investment Efficiency under Market Frictions

This paper analyses how firms respond to liquidity shocks when asset prices are endogenously determined through matching frictions. Building on...

July 2026
DP 967
David Webb

Discussion Papers

The Network Drivers of Trade Currency Invoicing

Using an equilibrium network model and a large international panel of cross-border trade, we analyse empirically the drivers of foreign currency...

July 2026
DP 966
Tommaso Mancini-Griffoli
Chris Greiner
Christian Julliard
Kathy Yuan

Discussion Papers

Equity Valuation Without DCF

We introduce discounted alpha - a novel framework for equity valuation. By correcting market prices rather than discounting long-horizon cash flows...

July 2026
DP 965
Thummim Cho
Christopher Polk
Robert Rogers

Discussion Papers

Market Information and the Impact of Public Health Insurance on the Private Insurance Market

We analyse how public health insurance affects private insurance markets in mixed public-private systems. Extending the standard selection framework...

July 2026
DP 964
Alistair McGuire
David Webb

Discussion Papers

Share Issues versus Share Repurchases

Almost all firms repurchase shares through open-market repurchase programs. In contrast, issue methods are more diverse: at-the-market offerings...

July 2026
DP 963
Philip Bond
Yue Yuan
Hongda Zhong

Discussion Papers

Macro Strikes Back: Term Structure of Risk Premia

We provide a novel priced Wold representation that, using the pricing restrictions of a large cross-section of asset returns, sharply identifies...

July 2026
DP 962
Svetlana Bryzgalova
Jiantao Huang
Christian Julliard

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Pass-through voting: can greater investor voice strengthen s ...

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What can investors do about climate change?

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Events

LSE Corporate Governance Summer School 2026

The Future of Money - A conference in celebration of Charles ...

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Correlation neglect in asset prices

Repo and FX Swap: A Tale of Two Markets

Credit Card Borrowing in Heterogeneous-Agent Models: Reconci ...

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Publications

Causal Inference for Asset Pricing

The Option Value of Waiting for Institutional Improvement: R ...

Bayesian Fama-MacBeth Regressions

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