The Skill Profile of Central Bankers and Supervisors
Using a new database covering some 91 supervisory agencies, this paper examines how important various skilled experts are in the regulatory process...
Housing market dynamics: on the contribution of income shocks and credit constraints
Two features distinguish residential real estate from financial assets: households’ consumption demand for a dwelling and the indivisibility of...
The impact of technology on cash usage
“Cash is dirty ... Cash is heavy ... Cash is inequitable ... Cash is quaint, technologically speaking ... Cash is expensive ... Cash is obsolete.”...
Disclosures and asset returns
Public information in financial markets often arrives through the disclosures of interested parties who have a material interest in the reactions of...
Does one Soros make a difference?: a theory of currency crises with large and small traders
Do large investors increase the vulnerability of a country to speculative attacks in the foreign exchange markets? To address this issue, we build a...
A structured GARCH model of daily equity return volatility
This paper estimates a structural times series model of return volatility. We argue that the structural time series approach to GARCH modelling first...
Agency conflicts, ownership concentration, and legal shareholder protection
This paper analyzes the interaction between legal shareholder protection, managerial incentives, monitoring, and ownership concentration. Legal...
Coordination Risk and the Price of Debt
Creditors of a distressed borrower face a coordination problem. Even if the fundamentals are sound, fear of premature foreclosure by others may lead...
An Empirical Investigation in Credit Spread Indices
We study the dynamics of the spread between U.S. corporate and Treasury bonds. We foloped for interest rate processes we try to infer from the data...
Flexible term structure estimation: which method is preferred?
We show that the recently developed nonparametric procedure for fitting the term structure of interest rates developed by Linton, Mammen, Nielsen, and...
Financing Constraints and Inventories
This paper puts forward the existence of financing constraints as a possible explanation for two main empirical regularities about inventories; that...
In Defence of Usury Laws
This paper shows that if moral hazard leads to credit rationing, an appropriate usury law must raise social welfare. Under market clearing, a usury...
Trade Credit: Suppliers as Debt Collectors and Insurance Providers
There are two fundamental puzzles about trade credit: why does it appear to be so expensive, and why do input suppliers engage in the business of...
An Auto-regressive Conditional Binomial Option Pricing Model
This paper offers an option pricing framework grounded in econometric microstructure modelling. We consider a model where stock price dynamics follow...
Liquidity and Credit Risk
We develop a simple binomial model of liquidity and credit risk in which a bondholder has the option to time the sale of his security, given a...
Public Information, Private Information and the Multiplicity of Equilibria in Co-ordination Games
I study an example of a coordination game, and examine the robustness of equilibrium predictions with respect to changes in the information structure...