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Discussion Papers

News Effects in a High Frequency Model of the Sterling-Dollar Exchange Rate

This paper uses an extremely high frequency data set on the Dollar-Sterling exchange rate to investigate the impact of news events on the very short...

May 1991
DP 119
Charles Goodhart
Steven Hall
SGB Henry
Bahram Pesaran

Discussion Papers

Is The Foreign Exchange Market Characterised by Nonlinearity?

This is a further study of non linear dynamics, chaos, in a huge, continuous time data set for a foreign exchange spot rate, in this case the Dollar...

April 1991
DP 118
Fidelio Tata

Discussion Papers

Asymmetric Information and the Trade-Off Between Cash Flow and Net Present Value

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April 1991
DP 117
David Webb

Discussion Papers

Dually-Traded Italian Equities: London vs. Milan

Italian blue chip stocks are now actively trade in two markets: the dealers' market of SEAQ International in London and the traditional auction market...

April 1991
DP 116
Marco Pagano
Ailsa Röell

Discussion Papers

Asset Prices and Persistence in Fundamentals: A Vector Arma Estimation of Expectations Theories For Stocks and Bonds

The paper tests expectations theories for stock prices and interest rates by estimating a vector autoregressive moving average model. The existence of...

March 1991
DP 114
Andrea E. Beltratti

Discussion Papers

Actual and Warranted Relations Between Asset Prices

Efficient markets models assert that the price of each asset is equal to the optimal forecast of its ex-post (or fundamental) value, but the models do...

February 1991
DP 115
Andrea E. Beltratti
Robert J. Shiller

Discussion Papers

Convergence of Recursive Learning Mechanisms to Steady States and Cycles in Stochastic Nonlinear Models

We examine recursive algorithms for learning steady states and cycle in dynamic nonlinear models. Simple generically necessary and sufficient...

January 1991
DP 113
George W. Evans
Seppo Honkapohja

Discussion Papers

Venture Capital Finance With Temporary Asymmetric Learning

We analyse the nature of financial contracts in a passive learning environment where the arrival of information is private to the entrepreneur and...

January 1991
DP 112
Eric Hansen

Special Papers

National Fiscal Policy within EMU: The Fiscal Implications of Maastricht

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January 1991
SP 45
Charles Goodhart

Special Papers

The ESCB After Maastricht

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January 1991
SP 44
Charles Goodhart

Special Papers

Home Country Deposit Insurance?

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January 1991
SP 43
Dirk Schoenmaker

Special Papers

The External Dimension of EMU

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January 1991
SP 42
Charles Goodhart

Special Papers

Taurus – Protection for the Industry and the Investor

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January 1991
SP 41
John Watson

Special Papers

The Economic Consequences of John Major and Norman Lamont

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January 1991
SP 40
Charles Goodhart

Special Papers

In Search of Monetary Unions

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January 1991
SP 39
Morris Perlman

Special Papers

The Conduct of Monetary Policy

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January 1991
SP 38
Charles Goodhart

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