Conditional probability of default methodology
This paper presents the Conditional Probability of Default (CoPoD) methodology for modelling the probabilities of loan defaults (PoDs) by small and...
This paper presents the Conditional Probability of Default (CoPoD) methodology for modelling the probabilities of loan defaults (PoDs) by small and...
Using cross-sectional analysis of corporate dividend policy we show that large shareholders extract rents from firms and expropriate minority...
First generation models assume that the level of reserves of a Central Bank in a fixed exchange rate regime is common knowledge among consumers, and...
This paper proposes a measure of financial fragility that is based on eco- nomic welfare in a general equilbrium model calibrated against UK data. The...
Using regular variation to define heavy tailed distributions, we show that prominent downside risk measures produce similar and con- sistent ranking...
We investigate whether a rare event (like the default of the annuity provider) can explain the annuity market participation puzzle. High risk aversion...
This paper explores the potential for violations of VaR subadditivity both theoretically and by simulations, and finds that for most practical...
We analyze the degree of contract completeness with respect to staging of venture capital investments using a hand-collected German data set of...
Not only in the classic Arrow-Debreu model, but also in many mainstream macro models, an implicit assumption is that all agents honour their...
There are long, (and often variable), lags between a change in interest rates and its effect on real output and inflation. Hence policy should be...
This paper analyses takeovers of companies owned by atomistic shareholders and by one minority blockholder, all of whom can only decide to tender or...
This essay describes the current debate on reforming Social Security in the US, along with a brief description of how the program works. Along the way...
This paper studies optimal intergenerational transfer policy under stochastic labor income and capital returns. It has implications for Social...
We consider borrowers with the opportunity to raise funds from a competitive banking sector that shares information, and from an alternative hidden...
This paper introduces a new class of parameter estimators for dynamic models, called Simulated Nonparametric Estimators (SNE). The SNE minimizes...
We investigate the impact of owner-occupied housing on financial portfolio and mortgage choice under stochastic inflation and real interest rates. To...