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Publications

The Centre has a regular discussion paper series dedicated to academic research, as well as a special paper series focused on policy analysis. In addition, affiliated researchers publish a variety of books, reports and opinion pieces.

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Discussion Papers

Common factors in conditional distributions for Bivariate time series

A definition for a common factor for bivariate time series is suggested by considering the decomposition of the conditional density into the product...

June 2003
DP 455
Clive W. J. Granger
Timo Terasvirta
Andrew J. Patton

Discussion Papers

Pension fund governance and the choice between defined benefit and defined contribution plans

Recent events in several countries have underscored the importance of good governance in private occupational pension plans. The present paper uses...

June 2003
DP 454
Timothy Besley
Andrea Prat

Discussion Papers

Likelihood-based Estimation of Latent Generalised ARCH Structures

GARCH models are commonly used as latent processes in econometrics, financial economics and macroeconomics. Yet no exact likelihood analysis of these...

June 2003
DP 453
Gabriele Fiorentini
Enrique Sentana
Neil Shephard

Discussion Papers

Anatomy of a Market Crash: A Market Microstructure Analysis of the Turkish Overnight Liquidity Crisis

An order flow model, where the coded identity of the counterparties of every trade is known, hence providing institution level order flow, is applied...

June 2003
DP 456
Jón Danielsson
Burak Saltoglu

Discussion Papers

Evaluation of Joint Density Forecasts of Stock and Bond Returns: Predictability and Parameter Uncertainty

One of the most important findings in empirical finance has been the fact that returns are not i.i.d. Predictability, or time variation in the...

June 2003
DP 458
Francisco Peñaranda

Discussion Papers

Financial System Requirements for Successful Pension Reform

This paper examines the financial system prerequisites needed for the successful delivery of funded private pensions. In particular, it examines the...

June 2003
DP 463
David Blake

Special Papers

FCIs and Economic Activity: Some International Evidence

A Monetary Conditions Index (MCI), a weighted average of the short-term real interest rate and the real exchange rate, is a commonly used indicator of...

June 2003
SP 151
Charles Goodhart
Boris Hofmann

Special Papers

The IS Curve and the Transmission of Monetary Policy: Is there a Puzzle?

In this paper we assess the performance of the New Keynesian IS Curve for the G7 countries. We find that there is an IS puzzle for both the purely...

June 2003
SP 150
Charles Goodhart
Boris Hofmann

Discussion Papers

Management behaviour and market response

We study the relationship between management behaviour and the subsequent market response in the German IPO market. When applying two forms for...

June 2003
DP 462
Josef Anton Schuster
Jinhui Luo

Discussion Papers

The Near Impossibility of Credit Rationing

Equilibrium credit rationing in the sense of Stiglitz and Weiss (1981) implies the marginal cost of funds to the borrower is infinite. So borrowers...

May 2003
DP 459
David de Meza
David Webb

Discussion Papers

The near impossibility of credit rationing

Equilibrium credit rationing in the sense of Stiglitz and Weiss (1981) implies the marginal cost of funds to the borrower is infinite. So borrowers...

May 2003
DP 459
David de Meza
David Webb

Discussion Papers

A local instrumental variable estimation method for generalized additive volatility models

We investigate a new separable nonparametric model for time series, which includes many ARCH models and AR models already discussed in the literature...

May 2003
DP 509
Woocheol Kim
Oliver Linton

Discussion Papers

The United Kingdom pension system: Key Issues

This paper examines the key issues relating to the UK pension system. It reviews the current system of pension provision, describes and analyses the...

May 2003
DP 452
David Blake

Special Papers

The Governance Structure for Financial Regulation and Supervision in Europe

This paper examines the unfinished agenda of the governance structure for financial regulation and supervision in Europe. In this unfinished agenda...

May 2003
SP 149
Rosa Lastra

Discussion Papers

The cross-section of European IPO returns

We apply a sector-based approach to companies going public in the six largest Continental European markets and Sweden during a period characterized by...

May 2003
DP 460
Josef Anton Schuster

Discussion Papers

IPOs: insights from seven European countries

We perform a comparative country-by-country study of companies going public in the six largest Continental European markets and Sweden during 1988 and...

May 2003
DP 461
Josef Anton Schuster

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Polarization, Purpose and Profit

Marketwide Memory

The surprising leadership effect accelerators have on startu ...

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