Equilibrium Spillover of Big Data
We study a model of credit markets with adverse selection where ex-ante identical lenders invest in a screening technology to reduce their type I and...
Inflation Expectations and Stock Returns
How do inflation expectations affect stock returns, and what accounts for this relationship? We directly measure investors' expectations using traded...
Platform Money
This paper examines the role of platform-issued money in shaping digital marketplace competition against a legacy fiat market. We show that platform...
Institutional Constraints on Endogenous Growth
This paper argues that endogenous growth requires not merely savings and investment, but institutions that ensure investment is productivity-enhancing...
Research highlight
Corporate Bond Multipliers: Substitutes Matter
The Review of Financial Studies, hhag082
Demand Elasticity in Dynamic Asset Pricing
The demand-system approach identifies asset demand slopes using residual supply shocks, presuming these shocks move expected returns but not risk. In...
On the Moments of the Stochastic Discount Factor
We derive new bounds on arbitrary moments of the stochastic discount factor (SDF) that exploit the gap between the true and risk-neutral return...
Cryptocurrency’s Inflation Tax and the Black Banking Solution: An OLG Approach
This paper develops an overlapping generations model to analyse the inflationary consequences of introducing cryptocurrency alongside fiat money in an...
Market-Based Liquidity Transformation
We develop a theory of liquidity transformation performed by market participants. An in-kind wrapper (e.g., a corporate bond ETF), issued by a fee...
Causal Inference for Asset Pricing
Portfolio choice involves substituting across many assets at once, complicating inference about asset demand. An elementary condition often captures...
Bayesian Fama-MacBeth Regressions
Commonly used frequentist estimation methods for linear factor models of asset returns are invalidated by weak and spurious factors. The problem is...
Purifying the Equity Premium
The equity premium has conventionally been defined as the return on stocks minus the return on bills. We decompose this conventional definition into...
Market Fragmentation: Liquidity, Price Discovery, and Welfare
We analyze the impact of financial market fragmentation when traders differ in terms of market access and information about the asset payoff. Agents...
Safe Assets as Balance Sheet Multipliers
We highlight the multiplier role of (public) safe assets by studying a model of a bank’s balance sheet. The bank optimally constructs a portfolio of...
The Network Drivers of Trade Currency Invoicing
Using an equilibrium network model and a large international panel of cross-border trade, we analyse empirically the drivers of foreign currency...
Equity Valuation Without DCF
We introduce discounted alpha - a novel framework for equity valuation. By correcting market prices rather than discounting long-horizon cash flows...