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Publications

The Capital Markets programme examines how different types of agents interact in financial markets. The latest research from Capital Markets members is made available in our working papers collection. This cutting edge work is free to download, and designed to inspire scholarly debate.

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Discussion Papers

Margin Trading and Leverage Management

We use granular data covering regulated (brokerage-financed) and unregulated (shadow-financed) margin trading during the 2015 market turmoil in China...

July 2021
DP 839
Jiangze Bian
Zhi Da
Zhiguo He
Dong Lou
Kelly Shue
Hao Zhou

Discussion Papers

Why Don’t Most Mutual Funds Short Sell?

An intriguing observation in the US mutual fund industry is that most equity funds do not short sell, even though virtually all regulatory...

July 2021
DP 838
Li An
Shiyang Huang
Dong Lou
Jiahong Shi

Discussion Papers

Informed Trading in Government Bond Markets

Using comprehensive administrative data from the UK, we examine trading by different investor types in government bond markets. Our sample covers...

July 2021
DP 837
Robert Czech
Shiyang Huang
Dong Lou
Tianyu Wang

Academic journals

Asset pricing with index investing

Journal of Financial Economics, 141(1), 195-216

July 2021
Georgy Chabakauri
Oleg Rytchkov

Academic journals

Are Bigger Banks Better? Firm-Level Evidence from Germany

Journal of Political Economy, 129 (7)

July 2021
Kilian Huber

Discussion Papers

Dark Trading and Alternative Execution Priority Rules

Traders’ choice between lit and dark trading venues depends on market conditions, which are affected by execution priority rules in the dark pool...

June 2021
DP 834
Alejandro Bernales
Daniel Ladley
Evangelos Litos
Marcela Valenzuela

Discussion Papers

Sustainability in a Risky World

This paper studies the restrictions on consumption, portfolio choice, and social discounting implied by a sustainability constraint, that utility...

April 2021
DP 830
John Y. Campbell
Ian Martin

Discussion Papers

Factor Demand and Factor Returns

A mutual fund’s demand for a pricing factor, measured by the loading of the fund’s returns on the factor’s returns, is persistent over time. When...

March 2021
DP 829
Cameron Peng
Chen Wang

Discussion Papers

Extrapolative Bubbles and Trading Volume

We propose an extrapolative model of bubbles to explain the sharp rise in prices and volume observed in historical financial bubbles. The model...

March 2021
DP 828
Jingchi Liao
Cameron Peng
Ning Zhu

Discussion Papers

The Role of Sentiment in the Economy: 1920 to 1934

This paper investigates the role of sentiment in the US macro economy from 1920 to 1934. We use 2.4 million digitized articles from the Wall St...

February 2021
DP 800
Ali Kabiri
Harold James
John Landon-Lane
David Tuckett
Rickard Nyman

Academic journals

On the Autocorrelation of the Stock Market

Journal of Financial Econometrics, 19 (1), 39–52

January 2021
Ian Martin

Academic journals

Information acquisition with heterogeneous valuations

Journal of Economic Theory, 191, 105155

January 2021
Rohit Rahi

Academic journals

A Preferred-Habitat Model of the Term Structure of Interest Rates

Econometrica, 89 (1), 77-112

January 2021
Dimitri Vayanos
Jean-Luc Vila

Discussion Papers

Tracking Biased Weights: Asset Pricing Implications of Value-Weighted Indexing

We show theoretically and empirically that flows into index funds raise the prices of large stocks in the index disproportionately more than the...

December 2020
DP 823
Hao Jiang
Dimitri Vayanos
Lu Zheng

Discussion Papers

Are Bigger Banks Better? Firm-Level Evidence from Germany

The effects of large banks on the real economy are theoretically ambiguous and politically controversial. I identify quasi-exogenous increases in bank...

December 2020
DP 821
Kilian Huber

Academic journals

Collateral constraints and asset prices

Journal of Financial Economics, 138(3), Pages 754-776.

December 2020
Georgy Chabakauri
Brandon Yueyang Han

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Is Index Concentration an Inevitable Consequence of Market-C ...

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Marketwide Memory

Bond Supply, Yield Drifts, and Liquidity Provision Before Ma ...

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