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Publications

The Capital Markets programme examines how different types of agents interact in financial markets. The latest research from Capital Markets members is made available in our working papers collection. This cutting edge work is free to download, and designed to inspire scholarly debate.

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Academic journals

Informed trading in government bond markets

Journal of Financial Economics, 142 (3), 1253-1274

December 2021
Robert Czech
Shiyang Huang
Dong Lou
Tianyu Wang

Academic journals

Volatility, Valuation Ratios, and Bubbles: An Empirical Measure of Market Sentiment

Journal of Finance, 76 (6), 3211-3254

December 2021
Can Gao
Ian Martin

Discussion Papers

Municipal Bond Insurance and the U.S. Drinking Water Crisis

We show that the collapse of the municipal bond insurance industry plays an important, but previously overlooked, role in driving regional variation...

November 2021
DP 846
Ashwini Agrawal
Daniel Kim

Discussion Papers

A Theory of Socially Responsible Investment

We characterize necessary conditions for socially responsible investors to impact firm behavior in a setting in which firm production generates social...

November 2021
DP 845
Martin Oehmke
Marcus Opp

Discussion Papers

Multi-Asset Noisy Rational Expectations Equilibrium with Contingent Claims

We study a noisy rational expectations equilibrium in a multi-asset economy populated by informed and uninformed investors and noise traders. The...

November 2021
DP 745
Georgy Chabakauri
Kathy Yuan
Konstantinos E. Zachariadis

Discussion Papers

Blockchain Analysis of the Bitcoin Market

In this paper, we provide detailed analyses of the Bitcoin network and its main participants. We build a novel database using a large number of public...

October 2021
DP 844
Igor Makarov
Antoinette Schoar

Discussion Papers

Cleansing by Tight Credit: Rational Cycles and Endogenous Lending Standards

Endogenous cycles are generated by the two-way interaction between lenders’ behavior in the credit market and production fundamentals. When lenders...

October 2021
DP 843
Maryam Farboodi
Peter Kondor

Academic journals

Optimal automatic stabilizers

The Review of Economic Studies, 88 (5), 2375-2406

October 2021
Alisdair McKay
Ricardo Reis

Academic journals

Institutional Investors and Corporate Governance

Foundations and Trends in Finance, 12 (4), 276-394

September 2021
Amil Dasgupta
Vyacheslav (Slava) Fos
Zacharias Sautner

Discussion Papers

Information, Market Power and Welfare

We study a financial market in which agents with interdependent values bid for a risky asset. Some agents are privately informed of their own value...

September 2021
DP 842
Youcheng Lou
Rohit Rahi

Academic journals

Network Risk and Key Players: A Structural Analysis of Interbank Liquidity

Journal of Financial Economics, 141(3), 831-859

September 2021
Edward Denbee
Christian Julliard
Ye Li
Kathy Yuan

Academic journals

The rate of communication

Journal of Financial Economics, 141 (2), 533-550

August 2021
Shiyang Huang
Byoung-Hyoung Hwang
Dong Lou

Discussion Papers

The Wall Street Stampede: Exit as Governance with Interacting Blockholders

The growth of the asset management industry has made it commonplace for firms to have multiple institutional blockholders. In such firms, the strength...

July 2021
DP 841
Dragana Cvijanovic
Amil Dasgupta
Konstantinos E. Zachariadis

Discussion Papers

Margin Trading and Leverage Management

We use granular data covering regulated (brokerage-financed) and unregulated (shadow-financed) margin trading during the 2015 market turmoil in China...

July 2021
DP 839
Jiangze Bian
Zhi Da
Zhiguo He
Dong Lou
Kelly Shue
Hao Zhou

Discussion Papers

Why Don’t Most Mutual Funds Short Sell?

An intriguing observation in the US mutual fund industry is that most equity funds do not short sell, even though virtually all regulatory...

July 2021
DP 838
Li An
Shiyang Huang
Dong Lou
Jiahong Shi

Discussion Papers

Informed Trading in Government Bond Markets

Using comprehensive administrative data from the UK, we examine trading by different investor types in government bond markets. Our sample covers...

July 2021
DP 837
Robert Czech
Shiyang Huang
Dong Lou
Tianyu Wang

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Diversity in Venture Capital

The Carbon Problem

Fixed: Why Personal Finance is Broken, and How to Make it Wo ...

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Is Index Concentration an Inevitable Consequence of Market-C ...

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Causal Inference for Asset Pricing

Bayesian Fama-MacBeth Regressions

Purifying the Equity Premium

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