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Publications

The Capital Markets programme examines how different types of agents interact in financial markets. The latest research from Capital Markets members is made available in our working papers collection. This cutting edge work is free to download, and designed to inspire scholarly debate.

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Discussion Papers

Demand–Supply Imbalance Risk and Long-Term Swap Spreads

We develop a model in which long-term swap spreads are determined by end users’ demand for swaps, constrained dealers’ supply of swaps, and the risk...

April 2022
DP 853
Samuel G. Hanson
Aytek Malkhozov
Gyuri Venter

Research highlight

Academic journals

Extrapolative Bubbles and Trading Volume

The Review of Financial Studies, 35(4), 1682–1722

April 2022
Jingchi Liao
Cameron Peng
Ning Zhu

Academic journals

Wealth redistribution in bubbles and crashes

Journal of Monetary Economics, 126, 134-153

March 2022
Li An
Dong Lou
Donghui Shi

Research highlight

Academic journals

Clients' Connections Measuring the Role of Private Information in Decentralized Markets

Journal of Finance, 77(1), 505-544

February 2022
Peter Kondor
Gábor Pintér

Research highlight

Academic journals

Taming the bias zoo

Journal of Financial Economics, 143(2), 716-741

February 2022
Hongqi Liu
Cameron Peng
Wei A. Xiong
Wei Xiong

Discussion Papers

High-frequency Trading in the Stock Market and the Costs of Option Market Making

Using a comprehensive panel of 2,969,829 stock-day data provided by the Securities and Exchange Commission (MIDAS), we find that HFT activity in the...

January 2022
DP 847
Mahendrarajah Nimalendran
Khaladdin Rzayev
Satchit Sagade

Research highlight

Academic journals

Exchange Rate Exposure and Firm Dynamics

The Review of Economic Studies, 89 (1), 481-514

January 2022
Juliana Salomao
Liliana Varela

Academic journals

Informed trading in government bond markets

Journal of Financial Economics, 142 (3), 1253-1274

December 2021
Robert Czech
Shiyang Huang
Dong Lou
Tianyu Wang

Academic journals

Volatility, Valuation Ratios, and Bubbles: An Empirical Measure of Market Sentiment

Journal of Finance, 76 (6), 3211-3254

December 2021
Can Gao
Ian Martin

Discussion Papers

Municipal Bond Insurance and the U.S. Drinking Water Crisis

We show that the collapse of the municipal bond insurance industry plays an important, but previously overlooked, role in driving regional variation...

November 2021
DP 846
Ashwini Agrawal
Daniel Kim

Discussion Papers

A Theory of Socially Responsible Investment

We characterize necessary conditions for socially responsible investors to impact firm behavior in a setting in which firm production generates social...

November 2021
DP 845
Martin Oehmke
Marcus Opp

Discussion Papers

Multi-Asset Noisy Rational Expectations Equilibrium with Contingent Claims

We study a noisy rational expectations equilibrium in a multi-asset economy populated by informed and uninformed investors and noise traders. The...

November 2021
DP 745
Georgy Chabakauri
Kathy Yuan
Konstantinos E. Zachariadis

Discussion Papers

Blockchain Analysis of the Bitcoin Market

In this paper, we provide detailed analyses of the Bitcoin network and its main participants. We build a novel database using a large number of public...

October 2021
DP 844
Igor Makarov
Antoinette Schoar

Discussion Papers

Cleansing by Tight Credit: Rational Cycles and Endogenous Lending Standards

Endogenous cycles are generated by the two-way interaction between lenders’ behavior in the credit market and production fundamentals. When lenders...

October 2021
DP 843
Maryam Farboodi
Peter Kondor

Academic journals

Optimal automatic stabilizers

The Review of Economic Studies, 88 (5), 2375-2406

October 2021
Alisdair McKay
Ricardo Reis

Academic journals

Institutional Investors and Corporate Governance

Foundations and Trends in Finance, 12 (4), 276-394

September 2021
Amil Dasgupta
Vyacheslav (Slava) Fos
Zacharias Sautner

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