Long-Horizon Exchange Rate Expectations
We study exchange rate expectations in surveys of financial professionals and find that they successfully forecast currency appreciation at the two...
A growth plan for Greece
In January 2020, the Greek government appointed a Commission to propose a growth plan for the Greek economy. The Pissarides Commission produced a...
A Growth Strategy for the Greek Economy
The Greek government appointed in January 2020 a Commission chaired by Nobel Prize winner Christopher Pissarides to propose a growth plan. The...
An Unconventional FX Tail Risk Story
We examine how the tail risk of currency returns over the past 20 years were impacted by central bank (monetary and liquidity) measures across the...
Market Power and Insurance Coverage
This paper examines how market power affects coverage in a general class of insurance models. We show that market power decreases coverage for...
Reaching for Yield: Evidence from Households
The existing literature has documented “reaching for yield” - the phenomenon of investing more in risky assets when interest rates drop - among...
Let the Market Speak: Using Interest Rates to Identify the Fed Information Effect
I propose a novel method to identify the exogenous monetary shock from the signaling effect of a Fed announcements in real time. The method relies on...
Research highlight
Cleansing by tight credit: Rational cycles and endogenous lending standards
Journal of Financial Economics, 150(1), 46-67
Research highlight
Informational Black Holes in Financial Markets
Journal of Finance, 78 (6), 3099-3140
Asset Allocation and Returns in the Portfolios of the Wealthy
There is little direct empirical evidence on the investment behavior of wealthy households. Based on a proprietary database of investment portfolios...
On the Fragility of DeFi Lending
We develop a dynamic model of DeFi lending that incorporates the following key features: 1) borrowing and lending are decentralized, anonymous...
Granular Corporate Hedging Under Dominant Currency
This paper shows that, in a world dominated by vehicle currencies, firms engaging in international operations retain currency risk and hedge it real...
Feedback Trading and Bubbles
The paper develops a model of bubbles that can be taken to the data and explain the behavior of asset prices and their statistics. We depart from the...
Volatility and dark trading: Evidence from the Covid-19 pandemic
The British Accounting Review, 55 (4),101171