Central banks and financial crises
The paper draws lessons from the experience of the past year for the conduct of central banks in the pursuit of macroeconomic and financial stability...
Control Rights over Intellectual Property: Corporate Venturing and Bankruptcy Regimes
We develop a theory of control rights in the context of licensing interim innovative knowledge for further development, which is consistent with the...
Macroeconomic Determinants of Stock Market Returns, Volatility and Volatility Risk-Premia
This paper introduces a no-arbitrage framework to assess how macroeconomic factors help explain the risk-premium agents require to bear the risk of...
Some Determinants of the Price of Default Risk
In this paper we study the pricing of credit risk as reflected in the market for credit default swaps (CDS) between 2003 and 2008. This market has...
Interest Rate Forecasts: A Pathology
This is the first of three prospective papers examining how well forecasters can predict the future time path of short-term interest rates. Most prior...
Do reputational concerns lead to reliable ratings?
This paper examines to what extent reputational concerns give rating agencies incen- tives to reveal information. It demonstrates that, in a simple...
Do errors in forecasting inflation lead to errors in forecasting interest rates?
In the first of three related, and consecutive, papers we showed that forecasts for short-term policy interest rates in NZ and UK deteriorated over...
Can rare events explain the equity premium puzzle?
Probably not. First, allowing the probabilities attached to the states of the economy to differ from their sample frequencies, the Consumption-CAPM is...
Bond supply and excess bond returns
We examine empirically how the maturity structure of government debt affects bond yields and excess returns. Our analysis is based on a theoretical...
Asset pricing tests with long run risks in consumption growth
The Bansal and Yaron (2004) model of long run risks (LLR) in aggregate consumption and dividend growth and its extension that captures potential co...
From fiction to fact: the impact of CEO social networks
This paper investigates the relationship between a CEO’s social network, firm identity, and firm performance. There are two competing theories that...
